Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction

Sturm Graz – Red Bull Salzburg, Bundesliga, Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (GMT). Venue: Merkur-Arena

Sturm Graz is #4 in the table (18 pts) and Red Bull Salzburg #2 (24 pts). It's a clash between two of the top four. Sturm Graz is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Red Bull Salzburg is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Red Bull Salzburg averages 2.4 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Sturm Graz 2, draws 3, Red Bull Salzburg 1.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Salzburg arrive with the stronger domestic momentum and a recent winning blueprint against Sturm, but Merkur-Arena is a much tougher setting than the reverse fixture. Sturm's home resilience gives them a credible route through disciplined defending, second-ball work and quick attacks into the channels. The major pre-match unknown is personnel: available web lineup information remains preliminary rather than official. Expect Salzburg to take the initiative, with Sturm's ability to escape the press deciding whether this becomes an open contest or a sustained away siege.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

The fixture has been highly competitive across the recent series, with several draws and Sturm wins mixed into Salzburg victories. Salzburg's clear success in the reverse meeting is the freshest tactical reference, but Sturm have repeatedly made this matchup uncomfortable at Merkur-Arena.

Form (last 5)

Sturm GrazLeague position #4 · 18 ptsW W D
Red Bull SalzburgLeague position #2 · 24 ptsD W W

Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg stats

Sturm GrazRed Bull Salzburg
Played1010
Goals scored1824
Goals conceded125
Clean sheets35

Last meetings

  • 2026-09-20Red Bull Salzburg 3-0 Sturm Graz
  • 2026-05-03Red Bull Salzburg 1-1 Sturm Graz
  • 2026-03-20Sturm Graz 1-1 Red Bull Salzburg
  • 2025-11-09Sturm Graz 1-1 Red Bull Salzburg
  • 2025-09-20Red Bull Salzburg 0-2 Sturm Graz
  • 2025-05-09Sturm Graz 4-2 Red Bull Salzburg

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