Nautico Recife vs Avai prediction

Nautico Recife – Avai, Serie B, Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 10:30 PM (GMT). Venue: Estadio dos Aflitos

Nautico Recife is #15 in the table (43 pts) and Avai #17 (37 pts). Nautico Recife has not won any of its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Nautico Recife 0, draws 1, Avai 5. Their last meeting, on July 12, 2026, ended Avai 2-0 Nautico Recife.

Nautico Recife

10:30 PM

Avai

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a high-stakes Aflitos meeting between sides fighting to avoid the drop. Náutico have the stronger home platform and the incentive to settle their position, but they arrive hurt by a damaging defeat and without Vítor Andrade. Avaí have a strong recent record in this matchup and will be comfortable turning the occasion into a tense, fragmented contest. The first response from Náutico’s back line, and whether Muriel returns, shape the match as much as the attacking patterns do.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Avaí have had the clear edge in the modern series, and Náutico have not beaten them since the middle of the previous decade. The visitors also won the reverse fixture, though this survival contest at Aflitos carries a very different pressure profile.

Injuries and absences

Vítor Andrade’s confirmed suspension removes a forward option for Náutico. Muriel’s possible return is equally important: if he is unavailable, the home side lose the regular goalkeeper who had been a constant through much of the campaign.

Form (last 5)

Nautico RecifeLeague position #15 · 43 ptsL D L

AvaiLeague position #17 · 37 ptsW D L

Nautico Recife vs Avai stats

	Nautico Recife	Avai
Played	35	35
Goals scored	39	33
Goals conceded	46	45
Clean sheets	9	9

Last meetings

2026-07-12Avai 2-0 Nautico Recife
2021-11-21Nautico Recife 1-2 Avai
2021-08-14Avai 2-0 Nautico Recife
2020-11-06Nautico Recife 2-2 Avai
2020-08-09Avai 3-1 Nautico Recife
2016-11-12Avai 3-0 Nautico Recife