Portsmouth vs Swansea prediction

Portsmouth – Swansea, Championship, Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 07:45 PM (GMT). Venue: Fratton Park

Portsmouth is #11 in the table (18 pts) and Swansea #2 (23 pts). 9 places separate the two teams in the table. Portsmouth is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Swansea has kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches. Last 4 head-to-head meetings: Portsmouth 1, draws 1, Swansea 2. Their last meeting, on March 10, 2026, ended Portsmouth 1-2 Swansea.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a finely balanced Fratton Park fixture between a Portsmouth side carrying momentum and a Swansea side still near the leading pack despite a bruising recent week. Portsmouth’s home energy and Swansea’s fixture congestion give Mousinho’s team a credible platform, especially if Murphy or Shaughnessy can make the matchday squad. Swansea retain the technical route to take control through midfield and their right-sided width, but injuries in their attacking group narrow the options available to Matos. The key question is whether Portsmouth turn early pressure into territory and set-pieces before Swansea settle into possession.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Swansea hold the recent head-to-head edge, including victories in the last two meetings, but Portsmouth have also shown they can punish Swansea heavily at Fratton Park. The history points to a matchup capable of swinging sharply with game state.

Injuries and absences

Portsmouth’s reported absences are more numerous, with the potential availability of Murphy and Shaughnessy particularly important to their balance on the flank and at centre-back. Swansea are without Ronald and Yeo according to the latest club update, limiting wide attacking rotation, while Key’s fitness offers a meaningful compensating boost.

Form (last 5)

PortsmouthLeague position #11 · 18 ptsW D W
SwanseaLeague position #2 · 23 ptsW L L

Portsmouth vs Swansea stats

PortsmouthSwansea
Played1212
Goals scored1616
Goals conceded1513
Clean sheets35

Last meetings

  • 2026-03-10Portsmouth 1-2 Swansea
  • 2025-12-09Swansea 1-0 Portsmouth
  • 2025-01-01Portsmouth 4-0 Swansea
  • 2024-11-30Swansea 2-2 Portsmouth

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