Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar prediction

Independiente Medellin – Alianza Valledupar, Primera A, Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 11:10 PM (GMT). Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Independiente Medellin is #11 in the table (26 pts) and Alianza Valledupar #17 (17 pts). Independiente Medellin has not won any of its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Independiente Medellin 3, draws 2, Alianza Valledupar 1. Their last meeting, on April 19, 2026, ended Alianza Valledupar 0-1 Independiente Medellin.

Independiente Medellin

11:10 PM

Alianza Valledupar

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Medellín return home needing a response after a harsh recent sequence, but the matchup gives them a clear platform to control possession and territory. Alianza have been more resilient lately, yet their away attack has lacked consistent output across the campaign. Montaño’s ability to find pockets behind Alianza’s midfield screen is the principal home advantage. The visitors stay in contention if they defend the box cleanly, compete for second balls and turn early recoveries into direct transitions.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

This has been a productive fixture for Medellín at home: they are unbeaten in the last four meetings at Atanasio Girardot. The broader recent series is also favourable to Medellín, although several encounters have been tight and low-margin.

Form (last 5)

Independiente MedellinLeague position #11 · 26 ptsL L L

Alianza ValleduparLeague position #17 · 17 ptsW W L

Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar stats

	Independiente Medellin	Alianza Valledupar
Played	35	35
Goals scored	49	29
Goals conceded	48	54
Clean sheets	7	8

Last meetings

2026-04-19Alianza Valledupar 0-1 Independiente Medellin
2025-07-13Independiente Medellin 1-1 Alianza Valledupar
2025-01-27Alianza Valledupar 1-1 Independiente Medellin
2024-10-10Independiente Medellin 2-0 Alianza Valledupar
2024-02-24Alianza Valledupar 2-0 Independiente Medellin
2023-08-20Independiente Medellin 2-1 Alianza Valledupar