AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen prediction

AZ Alkmaar – Groningen, Eredivisie, Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 03:45 PM (GMT). Venue: AFAS Stadion

AZ Alkmaar is #5 in the table (20 pts) and Groningen #8 (15 pts). AZ Alkmaar has not won any of its last 5 matches. AZ Alkmaar averages 2 goals per match this season. Groningen averages 2.4 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: AZ Alkmaar 4, draws 1, Groningen 1. Their last meeting, on March 22, 2026, ended Groningen 3-0 AZ Alkmaar.

AZ Alkmaar

03:45 PM

Groningen

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

AZ enter with the stronger league position, home advantage and a recent history of imposing themselves on Groningen in Alkmaar. Groningen arrive as a live attacking opponent rather than a side likely to sit passively, having found goals consistently despite conceding freely. The visitors’ transition threat keeps this competitive, but AZ’s territorial pressure and ability to create sustained attacks make the home side’s control of the middle phase decisive. Team news needs close monitoring because external availability listings conflict with the supplied absence feed.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

AZ have had the better of the recent series, with several strong home displays in Alkmaar. Groningen’s emphatic win in the latest league meeting is an important reminder that their transition game can disrupt AZ when given space.

Injuries and absences

The supplied feed lists no confirmed absences, but FotMob’s availability page names potential injury absences on both sides. If those listings are confirmed, AZ’s midfield depth and Groningen’s defensive options would be the most affected areas.

Form (last 5)

AZ AlkmaarLeague position #5 · 20 ptsL D L

GroningenLeague position #8 · 15 ptsW L D

AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen stats

	AZ Alkmaar	Groningen
Played	10	10
Goals scored	20	24
Goals conceded	12	21
Clean sheets	3	1

Last meetings

2026-03-22Groningen 3-0 AZ Alkmaar
2025-08-10AZ Alkmaar 4-1 Groningen
2025-05-11AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Groningen
2024-12-18AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Groningen
2024-08-25Groningen 0-0 AZ Alkmaar
2023-03-11AZ Alkmaar 1-0 Groningen