Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens FC prediction

Panathinaikos – AEK Athens FC, Super League 1, Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 05:30 PM (GMT). Venue: Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium

Panathinaikos is #1 in the table (21 pts) and AEK Athens FC #3 (17 pts). It's a clash between two of the top four. AEK Athens FC is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Panathinaikos averages 2.3 goals per match this season. AEK Athens FC averages 3 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Panathinaikos 2, draws 1, AEK Athens FC 3.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a table-shaping Athens derby between the league leaders and an unbeaten AEK side. Panathinaikos bring the more convincing home platform and stronger immediate momentum, while AEK bring domestic resilience and a recent record of making this fixture uncomfortable. The midweek load and unresolved availability reports are the major variables before kickoff. Expect a forceful opening from the hosts, followed by an AEK attempt to turn regains and dead-ball situations into decisive moments.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

The recent series has been highly competitive, with AEK holding a slight edge in the latest run and several meetings decided by narrow margins. Panathinaikos have nevertheless shown they can impose themselves at home, making venue and match state especially important.

Injuries and absences

The supplied feed reports no confirmed absences, but [fotmob.com](https://www.fotmob.com/en-GB/matches/aek-athens-vs-panathinaikos/2wt7o5) lists possible issues involving Kristiansen, Ounahi and Ingason for Panathinaikos and Strakosha for AEK. Those reports need official confirmation; an absence in either defensive spine would be structurally significant.

Form (last 5)

PanathinaikosLeague position #1 · 21 ptsL W W
AEK Athens FCLeague position #3 · 17 ptsW W W

Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens FC stats

PanathinaikosAEK Athens FC
Played87
Goals scored1821
Goals conceded43
Clean sheets44

Last meetings

  • 2026-05-10AEK Athens FC 2-1 Panathinaikos
  • 2026-05-03Panathinaikos 0-0 AEK Athens FC
  • 2026-01-18AEK Athens FC 4-0 Panathinaikos
  • 2025-11-30Panathinaikos 2-3 AEK Athens FC
  • 2025-05-04AEK Athens FC 1-2 Panathinaikos
  • 2025-04-06Panathinaikos 3-1 AEK Athens FC

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