Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad prediction
Athletic Club – Real Sociedad, La Liga, Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 08:00 PM (GMT). Venue: San Mamés Stadium
Athletic Club is #8 in the table (12 pts) and Real Sociedad #5 (19 pts). Real Sociedad is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Athletic Club has kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Athletic Club 1, draws 2, Real Sociedad 3. Their last meeting, on October 2, 2026, ended Real Sociedad 0-1 Athletic Club.
AI confidence: Medium
AI match recap
This Basque derby pairs Athletic’s home intensity with a Real Sociedad side arriving in stronger form and with a fresher squad. San Mamés should give Athletic an early territorial lift, especially through wide pressure and set-pieces. Real Sociedad have the attacking personnel to punish turnovers, and their extra recovery time becomes increasingly relevant if the match stays level deep into the second half. The derby edge makes control of emotion and second balls as important as technical quality.
Predicted score and probabilities
The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.
See the full AI analysisHead-to-head analysis
Recent Basque derbies have generally been tight, with narrow wins and low-margin contests recurring across league and cup meetings. Both clubs have enjoyed recent success in the fixture, underlining how strongly match state and home pressure shape this rivalry.
Injuries and absences
Athletic’s potential loss of Galarreta would reduce control and ball security in the central build-up, while Guruzeta’s long-term absence limits an established centre-forward option. Real Sociedad’s Odriozola absence mainly removes depth at full-back; the latest local report indicates their midfield and attacking choices are otherwise intact.
Form (last 5)
Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad stats
| Athletic Club | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 9 | 10 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 18 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 |
Last meetings
- 2026-10-02Real Sociedad 0-1 Athletic Club
- 2026-03-04Real Sociedad 1-0 Athletic Club
- 2026-02-11Athletic Club 0-1 Real Sociedad
- 2026-02-01Athletic Club 1-1 Real Sociedad
- 2025-11-01Real Sociedad 3-2 Athletic Club
- 2025-05-04Real Sociedad 0-0 Athletic Club

Athletic Club
Real Sociedad