Santos Laguna vs Necaxa prediction

Santos Laguna – Necaxa, Liga MX, Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 11:00 PM (GMT). Venue: Estadio TSM Corona

Santos Laguna is #10 in the table (19 pts) and Necaxa #17 (10 pts). Necaxa has not won any of its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Santos Laguna 1, draws 0, Necaxa 5. Their last meeting, on January 11, 2026, ended Santos Laguna 1-3 Necaxa.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Santos arrive at Estadio Corona with the stronger momentum and a home sequence that has tightened markedly at the back. Necaxa are in a poor run and still searching for an away breakthrough, but their recent meetings with Santos show they are capable of making this fixture uncomfortable. Santos' ability to free Bullaude and attack through the wing-backs is the central advantage, while Carranza gives Necaxa a direct transition outlet. The late team sheet is important because Santos' reported long-term absences reduce options in defence and at centre-forward.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Necaxa have won six of the last ten meetings, compared with three Santos victories and one draw, and they have taken each of the last three. Those results include several open, high-scoring matches, so the historical matchup is materially less comfortable for Santos than the current form table suggests.

Injuries and absences

Third-party availability listings name Santos defenders Bruno Amione and forward Lucas Di Yorio as long-term absentees, thinning depth in two spine positions. Necaxa would target any unfamiliar Santos defensive partnership with early balls into Julián Carranza and set-piece pressure.

Form (last 5)

Santos LagunaLeague position #10 · 19 ptsW W L
NecaxaLeague position #17 · 10 ptsL L D

Santos Laguna vs Necaxa stats

Santos LagunaNecaxa
Played1414
Goals scored2016
Goals conceded2027
Clean sheets40

Last meetings

  • 2026-01-11Santos Laguna 1-3 Necaxa
  • 2025-11-01Necaxa 4-1 Santos Laguna
  • 2025-02-08Necaxa 3-2 Santos Laguna
  • 2024-09-02Santos Laguna 3-2 Necaxa
  • 2024-04-13Necaxa 2-0 Santos Laguna
  • 2023-09-25Santos Laguna 2-5 Necaxa

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