Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction

Lorient – Stade Brestois 29, Ligue 1, Monday, November 2, 2026 at 07:45 PM (GMT). Venue: Stade du Moustoir

Lorient is #9 in the table (12 pts) and Stade Brestois 29 #13 (9 pts). Lorient is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Lorient has kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Lorient 1, draws 2, Stade Brestois 29 3. Their last meeting, on February 7, 2026, ended Stade Brestois 29 2-0 Lorient.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a tightly balanced Breton derby between a Lorient side built on recent defensive discipline and a Brest team carrying greater attacking threat but defensive fragility. The hosts have momentum at the Moustoir, while Brest need a response after a flat recent sequence and cannot afford to let Lorient dictate the rhythm. Katseris's confirmed absence gives Brest a clear flank to attack, but Lorient's compactness can frustrate them if Mvogo and the central defenders dominate the box. The postponed schedule adds a small preparation wrinkle rather than a major fitness disadvantage for either side.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Brest are unbeaten across the most recent meaningful competitive meetings, including a win over Lorient in their last league encounter. Their recent visits to the Moustoir have also produced points, adding a useful psychological counterweight to Lorient's current home resilience.

Injuries and absences

Katseris's confirmed absence is the clearest structural blow: Lorient lose a natural right-sided outlet and a defender suited to tracking overlaps. Mbamba's recovery expands Alexandre Dujeux's midfield options, but his readiness to start remains uncertain.

Form (last 5)

LorientLeague position #9 · 12 ptsW W D
Stade Brestois 29League position #13 · 9 ptsW D L

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 stats

LorientStade Brestois 29
Played88
Goals scored714
Goals conceded612
Clean sheets50

Last meetings

  • 2026-02-07Stade Brestois 29 2-0 Lorient
  • 2025-10-19Lorient 3-3 Stade Brestois 29
  • 2024-07-20Lorient 1-1 Stade Brestois 29
  • 2024-03-31Lorient 0-1 Stade Brestois 29
  • 2023-12-20Stade Brestois 29 4-0 Lorient
  • 2023-05-07Lorient 2-1 Stade Brestois 29

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