Metz vs PAU prediction
Metz – PAU, Ligue 2, Friday, October 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (GMT). Venue: Stade Saint-Symphorien
Metz is #8 in the table (14 pts) and PAU #5 (17 pts). PAU is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Last 4 head-to-head meetings: Metz 1, draws 2, PAU 1. Their last meeting, on April 26, 2025, ended PAU 2-1 Metz.
AI confidence: Medium
AI match recap
Metz return home looking to build on encouraging recent performances, but Pau arrive with the division’s sharper immediate momentum. The hosts have a meaningful freshness issue around Abuashvili and must correct the transition defending their coach has highlighted publicly. Pau lose Pouilly on the right, yet retain a largely stable travelling group and carry a coherent defensive structure. The contest should hinge on whether Metz can turn home possession into clean entries without offering Pau open-field breaks.
Predicted score and probabilities
The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.
See the full AI analysisHead-to-head analysis
The last four meetings have been tight, with each side recording one win and two draws. Pau won the most recent encounter, while the previous meeting at Saint-Symphorien finished without a goal.
Injuries and absences
Metz face the more consequential current concern: Abuashvili is unlikely to feature, alongside several longer-term absentees, reducing Proment’s scope for continuity. Pau’s confirmed loss of Pouilly removes their regular right wing-back, though Saettel’s return gives Thierry Debès additional cover across midfield and wide roles.
Form (last 5)
Metz vs PAU stats
| Metz | PAU | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 10 | 10 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 10 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
Last meetings
- 2025-04-26PAU 2-1 Metz
- 2025-01-04Metz 0-0 PAU
- 2023-04-08PAU 1-1 Metz
- 2022-10-01Metz 1-0 PAU

Metz
PAU