FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union prediction

FC Cincinnati – Philadelphia Union, MLS, Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 06:00 PM (GMT). Venue: TQL Stadium

FC Cincinnati is #8 in the table (43 pts) and Philadelphia Union #6 (47 pts). FC Cincinnati is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Philadelphia Union has not won any of its last 5 matches. FC Cincinnati averages 2.1 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: FC Cincinnati 2, draws 0, Philadelphia Union 4. Their last meeting, on September 9, 2026, ended Philadelphia Union 5-0 FC Cincinnati.

FC Cincinnati

06:00 PM

Philadelphia Union

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a high-stakes Eastern Conference fixture with both clubs still chasing better postseason positioning. Cincinnati have home advantage, recent momentum and a potent attack, while Philadelphia arrive encouraged by a disciplined shutout in Nashville. The Union’s absent leading scorer and suspended midfield presence materially weaken their usual spine, though Damiani’s return gives them a much-needed focal point. Expect Cincinnati to press for control, with Philadelphia looking to punish the spaces left in transition.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Philadelphia have enjoyed the stronger recent league record in this matchup, capped by a dominant September result. The broader series has also produced several open contests, so Cincinnati’s home setting does not erase the Union’s tactical familiarity.

Injuries and absences

Iloski’s hamstring absence is Philadelphia’s biggest loss, taking away their main finishing threat just as the Union enter a playoff-position fixture. Jean Jacques’ suspension further weakens the midfield, although Damiani’s return and Bueno’s reported availability give Ryan Richter more options than the initial absence list suggests.

Form (last 5)

FC CincinnatiLeague position #8 · 43 ptsW W D

Philadelphia UnionLeague position #6 · 47 ptsD L D

FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union stats

	FC Cincinnati	Philadelphia Union
Played	32	32
Goals scored	66	62
Goals conceded	73	50
Clean sheets	3	7

Last meetings

2026-09-09Philadelphia Union 5-0 FC Cincinnati
2025-08-30FC Cincinnati 0-1 Philadelphia Union
2025-03-02Philadelphia Union 4-1 FC Cincinnati
2025-02-07FC Cincinnati 4-1 Philadelphia Union
2024-10-20Philadelphia Union 1-2 FC Cincinnati
2024-08-13FC Cincinnati 2-4 Philadelphia Union

Unavailable players