San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake prediction
San Jose Earthquakes – Real Salt Lake, MLS, Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 09:00 PM (GMT). Venue: Avaya Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes is #5 in the table (49 pts) and Real Salt Lake #9 (42 pts). San Jose Earthquakes has not won any of its last 5 matches. Real Salt Lake is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: San Jose Earthquakes 3, draws 1, Real Salt Lake 2. Their last meeting, on October 15, 2026, ended Real Salt Lake 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes. Absent for San Jose Earthquakes: N. Adimabua, D. Johnson, D. Jones +2.
AI confidence: Medium
AI match recap
This is a high-stakes Western Conference match: San Jose are protecting a strong playoff position, while RSL need points to keep their own postseason push in their hands. RSL bring the sharper recent results and showed comeback character in Austin, but the short turnaround and Guilavogui's suspension are major burdens. San Jose also have an important attacker missing in Werner, yet home territory and fresher legs give them a clearer route to controlling the match. Expect RSL to stay resilient and dangerous after recoveries rather than dominate the ball.
Predicted score and probabilities
The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.
See the full AI analysisHead-to-head analysis
The clubs drew their meeting earlier this month, and their recent head-to-head record is notably balanced. RSL have avoided defeat in most of the latest encounters, so San Jose's home edge does not make this a one-sided matchup.
Injuries and absences
RSL are hit harder by confirmed absences: Guilavogui's suspension compounds the long-term losses of Luna and Eneli, reducing creativity, transition quality and midfield coverage. San Jose lose Werner to suspension and remain without DeJuan Jones, but retain the home platform and broader recent continuity.
Form (last 5)
San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake stats
| San Jose Earthquakes | Real Salt Lake | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 32 | 32 |
| Goals scored | 54 | 50 |
| Goals conceded | 47 | 49 |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 |
Last meetings
- 2026-10-15Real Salt Lake 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes
- 2025-07-27Real Salt Lake 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes
- 2025-02-23San Jose Earthquakes 4-0 Real Salt Lake
- 2024-10-06San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Real Salt Lake
- 2024-08-25Real Salt Lake 0-2 San Jose Earthquakes
- 2023-09-17San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Real Salt Lake
Unavailable players
San Jose Earthquakes
N. Adimabua, D. Johnson, D. Jones, T. Werner, J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza
Real Salt Lake
E. Eneli, M. Guilavogui, D. Luna, J. J. Arias, G. Dillon, L. Engel

San Jose Earthquakes
Real Salt Lake