San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake prediction

San Jose Earthquakes – Real Salt Lake, MLS, Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 09:00 PM (GMT). Venue: Avaya Stadium

San Jose Earthquakes is #5 in the table (49 pts) and Real Salt Lake #9 (42 pts). San Jose Earthquakes has not won any of its last 5 matches. Real Salt Lake is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: San Jose Earthquakes 3, draws 1, Real Salt Lake 2. Their last meeting, on October 15, 2026, ended Real Salt Lake 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes. Absent for San Jose Earthquakes: N. Adimabua, D. Johnson, D. Jones +2.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a high-stakes Western Conference match: San Jose are protecting a strong playoff position, while RSL need points to keep their own postseason push in their hands. RSL bring the sharper recent results and showed comeback character in Austin, but the short turnaround and Guilavogui's suspension are major burdens. San Jose also have an important attacker missing in Werner, yet home territory and fresher legs give them a clearer route to controlling the match. Expect RSL to stay resilient and dangerous after recoveries rather than dominate the ball.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

The clubs drew their meeting earlier this month, and their recent head-to-head record is notably balanced. RSL have avoided defeat in most of the latest encounters, so San Jose's home edge does not make this a one-sided matchup.

Injuries and absences

RSL are hit harder by confirmed absences: Guilavogui's suspension compounds the long-term losses of Luna and Eneli, reducing creativity, transition quality and midfield coverage. San Jose lose Werner to suspension and remain without DeJuan Jones, but retain the home platform and broader recent continuity.

Form (last 5)

San Jose EarthquakesLeague position #5 · 49 ptsD L D
Real Salt LakeLeague position #9 · 42 ptsW W W

San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake stats

San Jose EarthquakesReal Salt Lake
Played3232
Goals scored5450
Goals conceded4749
Clean sheets74

Last meetings

  • 2026-10-15Real Salt Lake 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes
  • 2025-07-27Real Salt Lake 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes
  • 2025-02-23San Jose Earthquakes 4-0 Real Salt Lake
  • 2024-10-06San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Real Salt Lake
  • 2024-08-25Real Salt Lake 0-2 San Jose Earthquakes
  • 2023-09-17San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Real Salt Lake

Unavailable players

San Jose Earthquakes

N. Adimabua, D. Johnson, D. Jones, T. Werner, J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza

Real Salt Lake

E. Eneli, M. Guilavogui, D. Luna, J. J. Arias, G. Dillon, L. Engel

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