Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas prediction

Sporting Kansas City – FC Dallas, MLS, Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 07:00 PM (GMT). Venue: Children's Mercy Park

Sporting Kansas City is #15 in the table (22 pts) and FC Dallas #2 (54 pts). 13 places separate the two teams in the table. Sporting Kansas City has not won any of its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Sporting Kansas City 2, draws 0, FC Dallas 4. Their last meeting, on September 6, 2026, ended FC Dallas 4-3 Sporting Kansas City. Absent for Sporting Kansas City: O. Blorian, Diego Borges, M. Mosquera +4.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Dallas arrive with far more to play for at the top end of the Western Conference, whereas Sporting are attempting to give their home support a better final impression of a difficult campaign. The visitors have recently dominated this matchup and Musa has repeatedly hurt Sporting, but Dallas must absorb the loss of Moore and Norris from their defensive options. Sporting's route is clear: make the match frantic, use Calheira and Andre Luiz early, and force unfamiliar Dallas defenders into repeated recovery runs. If Kansas City again make the defensive mistakes Wicky highlighted, Dallas have the attacking tools to punish them.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Dallas have won the last four meetings, and the September match was an especially open seven-goal contest. The broader recent series also contains several high-scoring fixtures, so this rivalry has repeatedly produced attacking opportunities.

Injuries and absences

Dallas' confirmed suspensions for Shaq Moore and Nolan Norris are the most consequential team-news issue because they force a defensive reshuffle. Sporting's multiple absences reduce Wicky's ability to reinforce a back line that has already struggled, while Bassong and Johnsen require a final fitness check.

Form (last 5)

Sporting Kansas CityLeague position #15 · 22 ptsL L L
FC DallasLeague position #2 · 54 ptsD W L

Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas stats

Sporting Kansas CityFC Dallas
Played3232
Goals scored3858
Goals conceded8049
Clean sheets18

Last meetings

  • 2026-09-06FC Dallas 4-3 Sporting Kansas City
  • 2025-06-15Sporting Kansas City 2-4 FC Dallas
  • 2025-03-30FC Dallas 2-1 Sporting Kansas City
  • 2024-10-20FC Dallas 2-1 Sporting Kansas City
  • 2024-07-11Sporting Kansas City 2-1 FC Dallas
  • 2024-07-08Sporting Kansas City 3-2 FC Dallas

Unavailable players

Sporting Kansas City

O. Blorian, Diego Borges, M. Mosquera, S. Reid, J. Reynolds, Z. Bassong, L. Johnsen

FC Dallas

S. Moore, N. Norris, L. Farrington, Geovane Jesus

Other MLS matches