Chelsea vs Manchester United prediction

Chelsea – Manchester United, Premier League, Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 12:30 PM (GMT). Venue: Stamford Bridge

Chelsea is #5 in the table (13 pts) and Manchester United #16 (7 pts). 11 places separate the two teams in the table. Manchester United has not won any of its last 5 matches. Chelsea averages 2.1 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Chelsea 2, draws 1, Manchester United 3. Their last meeting, on April 18, 2026, ended Chelsea 0-1 Manchester United.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Chelsea have the stronger league position and a clear opportunity to respond after a difficult cup exit, but their own injury list prevents this from being straightforward. United travel under serious pressure after a poor sequence, with their forward line weakened by Sesko’s absence and their left flank short of natural options. Palmer’s return gives Chelsea a major creative reference point, while Fernandes remains United’s player most capable of changing the match with one pass or set-piece. The decisive contest is likely to be Chelsea’s attacking rotations against United’s patched-up left side and central defensive block.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

The recent series has been tightly contested, with the last three league meetings producing alternating winners. Stamford Bridge has not been a routine fixture for either side, so the historical record offers little separation.

Injuries and absences

Chelsea lose leadership and balance through the absences of Reece James, João Pedro and Martínez, while any Caicedo absence would further weaken their ball-winning base. United are more structurally affected: Sesko removes a central forward option, and the Shaw-Dorgu absences narrow Carrick’s solutions on the left.

Form (last 5)

ChelseaLeague position #5 · 13 ptsW W L
Manchester UnitedLeague position #16 · 7 ptsD D L

Chelsea vs Manchester United stats

ChelseaManchester United
Played88
Goals scored1710
Goals conceded1513
Clean sheets10

Last meetings

  • 2026-04-18Chelsea 0-1 Manchester United
  • 2025-09-20Manchester United 2-1 Chelsea
  • 2025-05-16Chelsea 1-0 Manchester United
  • 2024-11-03Manchester United 1-1 Chelsea
  • 2024-04-04Chelsea 4-3 Manchester United
  • 2023-12-06Manchester United 2-1 Chelsea

Unavailable players

Chelsea

R. James, Joao Pedro, E. Martinez, M. Caicedo, P. Chavarria, J. Gittens, M. Lacroix

Manchester United

P. Dorgu, B. Sesko, L. Shaw, M. Ugarte, M. Rashford

Other Premier League matches