Modena vs Mantova prediction

Modena – Mantova, Serie B, Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (GMT). Venue: Alberto Braglia

Modena is #2 in the table (19 pts) and Mantova #4 (17 pts). It's a clash between two of the top four. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Modena 3, draws 3, Mantova 0. Their last meeting, on March 21, 2026, ended Modena 2-1 Mantova.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a high-stakes Emilia-Lombardy derby between two sides near the top end of Serie B, with Modena arriving in the better rhythm and carrying home momentum. Mantova will not come to sit deep: Modesto expects an open contest and his side are built to press man for man. The main complication for Modena is the loss of Caso, whose dribbling gave them a different outlet, but Azzi’s availability offers Galloppa a workable alternative on the left. Mantova’s ability to preserve energy after a demanding week should decide whether their aggressive plan remains effective late on.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Modena have won the last three league meetings, including recent success at the Braglia. Mantova have only one victory across the last eight head-to-head encounters, so the recent matchup history favours the hosts.

Injuries and absences

Caso’s surgery-confirmed absence is a significant loss for Modena because it removes their clearest dribbler and line-breaker from the left. Tonoli is also out for a period and Stenio remains unavailable until after the break, reducing Galloppa’s depth during a congested spell.

Form (last 5)

ModenaLeague position #2 · 19 ptsL W W
MantovaLeague position #4 · 17 ptsL W L

Modena vs Mantova stats

ModenaMantova
Played99
Goals scored1714
Goals conceded910
Clean sheets22

Last meetings

  • 2026-03-21Modena 2-1 Mantova
  • 2025-09-20Mantova 1-3 Modena
  • 2025-02-01Modena 3-1 Mantova
  • 2024-11-30Mantova 0-0 Modena
  • 2021-03-14Modena 1-1 Mantova
  • 2020-11-16Mantova 0-0 Modena

Other Serie B matches