1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction

1. FC Köln – Bayer Leverkusen, Bundesliga, Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 02:30 PM (GMT). Venue: RheinEnergieStadion

1. FC Köln is #12 in the table (8 pts) and Bayer Leverkusen #4 (13 pts). 8 places separate the two teams in the table. Bayer Leverkusen averages 2.3 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: 1. FC Köln 1, draws 0, Bayer Leverkusen 5. Their last meeting, on April 25, 2026, ended 1. FC Köln 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Leverkusen bring the stronger league position, more consistent attacking production and a recent edge in this fixture. Köln are far more competitive at RheinEnergieSTADION, but the reported absences in defence, midfield and at centre-forward make their task much harder. The visitors’ wide rotations, particularly around Grimaldo, are the central tactical problem, while Köln must turn home intensity and set-pieces into territorial pressure. Team news requires a final check because external availability feeds conflict with the supplied injury list.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Leverkusen hold a clear recent head-to-head advantage and have won the latest run of meetings. Köln’s occasional success in this matchup has generally required a disciplined low block and clinical moments in transition.

Injuries and absences

External reports indicate that Köln may be without much of their spine, especially defensive aerial presence, midfield ball-winning and central attacking depth. Leverkusen’s reported attacking absences reduce alternatives around Schick, but they appear less structurally damaging than Köln’s listed issues.

Form (last 5)

1. FC KölnLeague position #12 · 8 ptsW L D
Bayer LeverkusenLeague position #4 · 13 ptsW W L

1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen stats

1. FC KölnBayer Leverkusen
Played77
Goals scored816
Goals conceded1112
Clean sheets12

Last meetings

  • 2026-04-251. FC Köln 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 2025-12-13Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 1. FC Köln
  • 2025-02-05Bayer Leverkusen 3-2 1. FC Köln
  • 2024-03-031. FC Köln 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 2023-10-08Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 1. FC Köln
  • 2023-05-05Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 1. FC Köln

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