FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München prediction
FSV Mainz 05 – Bayern München, Bundesliga, Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (GMT). Venue: Mewa Arena
FSV Mainz 05 is #7 in the table (10 pts) and Bayern München #1 (17 pts). Bayern München is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. FSV Mainz 05 averages 2.3 goals per match this season. Bayern München averages 3.6 goals per match this season. Their last meeting, on April 25, 2026, ended FSV Mainz 05 3-4 Bayern München.
AI confidence: Medium
AI match recap
Bayern bring the stronger league form and a clear attacking edge into a difficult away ground. Mainz have enough pace and directness to hurt a high line, especially if Becker is released early in transition, but their home defensive record makes long periods without the ball dangerous. The major pre-match issue is availability: both squads have reported absences, with Bayern particularly affected in goal, midfield and central defence. Expect Bayern to control territory, with Mainz needing an efficient counterattacking display to keep the contest alive.
Predicted score and probabilities
The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.
See the full AI analysisHead-to-head analysis
This fixture has repeatedly produced goals and momentum swings in recent seasons. Bayern hold the broader historical advantage, but Mainz have also beaten them at MEWA ARENA and the most recent meetings show that the hosts can land punches in an open game.
Injuries and absences
Availability is the biggest uncertainty. FotMob lists Mainz goalkeeper Robin Zentner and defender Dominik Kohr among the absentees, while Bayern are listed without Manuel Neuer, Aleksandar Pavlović, Kim Min-jae, Luis Díaz and Jamal Musiala; confirmation matters because these absences reshape both teams' central spine.
Form (last 5)
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München stats
| FSV Mainz 05 | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 25 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 6 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
Last meetings
- 2026-04-25FSV Mainz 05 3-4 Bayern München
- 2025-12-14Bayern München 2-2 FSV Mainz 05
- 2025-04-26Bayern München 3-0 FSV Mainz 05
- 2024-12-14FSV Mainz 05 2-1 Bayern München
- 2024-10-30FSV Mainz 05 0-4 Bayern München
- 2024-03-09Bayern Munich 8-1 FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München