Burnley vs Portsmouth prediction

Burnley – Portsmouth, Championship, Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (GMT). Venue: Turf Moor

Burnley is #22 in the table (8 pts) and Portsmouth #11 (18 pts). 11 places separate the two teams in the table. Burnley has not won any of its last 5 matches. Portsmouth is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Last 4 head-to-head meetings: Burnley 2, draws 1, Portsmouth 1. Their last meeting, on February 1, 2025, ended Portsmouth 0-0 Burnley.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a sharply contrasting fixture: Portsmouth bring the stronger recent run, while Burnley have a new head coach and the urgency of a troubled home campaign. Fabio Celestini’s first match should produce an aggressive home opening and a louder Turf Moor atmosphere, but his players must turn that emotion into a stable defensive performance. Portsmouth have clear wide-play intent, and the possible returns of Josh Murphy and Conor Shaughnessy would improve both their balance and their options from the bench. The match should hinge on whether Burnley control transition moments after their press, or whether Pompey’s wingers repeatedly find space to run into.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

The recent Championship meetings have been tight, including a goalless draw at Portsmouth and a narrow Burnley home win. The wider historical sample is too old to carry much tactical relevance.

Injuries and absences

Burnley’s depth is restricted by absences across defence, midfield and attack, complicating Celestini’s first selection. For Portsmouth, the possible availability of Murphy and Shaughnessy is significant: one restores wing depth, while the other offers defensive experience.

Form (last 5)

BurnleyLeague position #22 · 8 ptsD L L
PortsmouthLeague position #11 · 18 ptsW D W

Burnley vs Portsmouth stats

BurnleyPortsmouth
Played1212
Goals scored1716
Goals conceded2515
Clean sheets13

Last meetings

  • 2025-02-01Portsmouth 0-0 Burnley
  • 2024-09-21Burnley 2-1 Portsmouth
  • 2012-03-31Portsmouth 1-5 Burnley
  • 2011-12-10Burnley 0-1 Portsmouth

Unavailable players

Burnley

A. Ahmedhodzic, Z. Amdouni, J. Beyer, J. Bruun Larsen, B. Humphreys, H. Mejbri, M. Obafemi, A. Ramsey

Portsmouth

K. Anderson, B. Arthur, C. Bishop, L. Brooke-Smith, M. Kosznovszky, J. Murphy, C. Ogilvie, C. Shaughnessy

Other Championship matches