Millwall vs Derby prediction
Millwall – Derby, Championship, Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (GMT). Venue: The Den
Millwall is #13 in the table (15 pts) and Derby #23 (7 pts). 10 places separate the two teams in the table. Millwall has not won any of its last 5 matches. Derby has not won any of its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Millwall 3, draws 3, Derby 0. Their last meeting, on March 10, 2026, ended Millwall 1-0 Derby.
AI confidence: Medium
AI match recap
Millwall have a clear opportunity to turn home pressure into a result against a Derby side stuck near the foot of the Championship. The Rams’ defensive availability is the defining pre-match issue, with Eustace considering structural changes while several senior defenders remain out. Derby’s travelling support will be loud, but their first priority will be surviving Millwall’s aerial pressure, loose-ball battles and set-pieces. Recent meetings point to a stubborn contest, although the visitors’ current squad strain makes that plan harder to sustain.
Predicted score and probabilities
The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.
See the full AI analysisHead-to-head analysis
Millwall are unbeaten across the last seven league meetings with Derby, and the last ten encounters have mostly been decided by narrow margins. That history supports Derby’s hope of making the contest awkward, even if their current personnel problems are far greater than usual.
Injuries and absences
Derby’s reported absences and Sanderson’s suspension strip depth from the defensive unit and could force Eustace into a back three or unfamiliar partnerships. Millwall also have several players listed as doubtful by squad trackers, but Derby’s problems are broader and more structurally damaging.
Form (last 5)
Millwall vs Derby stats
| Millwall | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 12 | 12 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 21 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 |
Last meetings
- 2026-03-10Millwall 1-0 Derby
- 2025-12-10Derby 1-1 Millwall
- 2025-02-22Derby 0-1 Millwall
- 2024-10-19Millwall 1-1 Derby
- 2022-02-23Derby 1-2 Millwall
- 2021-11-06Millwall 1-1 Derby

Millwall
Derby