Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka prediction

Kashima – Cerezo Osaka, J1 League, Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 06:00 AM (GMT). Venue: Mercari Stadium

Kashima is #8 in the table (20 pts) and Cerezo Osaka #12 (14 pts). Cerezo Osaka has not won any of its last 5 matches. Kashima averages 2.1 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Kashima 4, draws 1, Cerezo Osaka 1. Their last meeting, on September 23, 2025, ended Kashima 3-1 Cerezo Osaka.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Kashima return home with confidence from continental action and a fit-again Léo Ceará, but they do so on a very short turnaround. Cerezo's league sequence has been draw-heavy, although their cup win provided a timely attacking lift through Solomon Sakuragawa. The central contest is whether Kashima can keep Cerezo's dangerous wide players facing their own goal while protecting a reshuffled centre-back area. The hosts have the stronger home pattern and recent record in this fixture, but fatigue and Cerezo's transition threat keep the match competitive.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Kashima have held the upper hand in the recent series, including a 3-1 home league win last season. Cerezo have not won on Kashima soil in the last four meetings, with Kashima taking three victories and one draw.

Injuries and absences

Kim Tae-hyeon's confirmed proximal tibia fracture removes a Kashima centre-back and concentrates scrutiny on Ueda and likely replacement Sekigawa against Sakuragawa's strength. The provided team list otherwise contains no confirmed absences, so final matchday selection remains important.

Form (last 5)

KashimaLeague position #8 · 20 ptsW D L
Cerezo OsakaLeague position #12 · 14 ptsL D D

Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka stats

KashimaCerezo Osaka
Played1212
Goals scored2512
Goals conceded2119
Clean sheets34

Last meetings

  • 2025-09-23Kashima 3-1 Cerezo Osaka
  • 2025-04-12Cerezo Osaka 1-0 Kashima
  • 2024-11-30Cerezo Osaka 0-2 Kashima
  • 2024-03-02Kashima 1-1 Cerezo Osaka
  • 2023-09-16Kashima 1-0 Cerezo Osaka
  • 2023-05-07Cerezo Osaka 0-1 Kashima

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