V-varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy prediction

V-varen Nagasaki – Tokyo Verdy, J1 League, Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 05:00 AM (GMT). Venue: Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank

V-varen Nagasaki is #14 in the table (12 pts) and Tokyo Verdy #18 (8 pts). Last 6 head-to-head meetings: V-varen Nagasaki 2, draws 2, Tokyo Verdy 2. Their last meeting, on July 5, 2023, ended Tokyo Verdy 1-2 V-varen Nagasaki.

V-varen Nagasaki

05:00 AM

Tokyo Verdy

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a direct lower-half meeting in which Nagasaki's home platform gives them a meaningful edge, even though their recent overall form has been uneven. Tokyo Verdy have genuine momentum from their latest result and the return of Someno, but their broader attacking production remains a serious constraint. Nagasaki's ability to recover physically after the Urawa defeat and to get Matheus Jesus into decisive areas should set the tone. Verdy's route to a result is to make their new-manager pressing game disruptive from the opening phase.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

The recent ten-meeting sample is closely balanced, with Nagasaki holding a narrow edge and three draws. Their most recent encounter was a Nagasaki away win in 2023, but these meetings were in J2 and have limited bearing on two changed J1 squads.

Form (last 5)

V-varen NagasakiLeague position #14 · 12 ptsL W L

Tokyo VerdyLeague position #18 · 8 ptsL D W

V-varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy stats

	V-varen Nagasaki	Tokyo Verdy
Played	12	12
Goals scored	15	9
Goals conceded	19	21
Clean sheets	2	2

Last meetings

2023-07-05Tokyo Verdy 1-2 V-varen Nagasaki
2023-05-07V-varen Nagasaki 1-2 Tokyo Verdy
2022-08-06Tokyo Verdy 1-0 V-varen Nagasaki
2022-02-19V-varen Nagasaki 1-1 Tokyo Verdy
2021-11-07Tokyo Verdy 0-3 V-varen Nagasaki
2021-04-25V-varen Nagasaki 1-1 Tokyo Verdy