Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano prediction

Real Sociedad – Rayo Vallecano, La Liga, Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 03:15 PM (GMT). Venue: Anoeta

Real Sociedad is #5 in the table (19 pts) and Rayo Vallecano #16 (9 pts). 11 places separate the two teams in the table. Real Sociedad is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Rayo Vallecano has not won any of its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Real Sociedad 1, draws 3, Rayo Vallecano 2. Their last meeting, on April 26, 2026, ended Rayo Vallecano 3-3 Real Sociedad.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Sociedad arrive with stronger form, home momentum and a clear league-position advantage. Rayo’s recent away record is the central concern, compounded by a lengthy list of reported fitness problems in key areas of the squad. The visitors still have a credible route through aggressive pressing, quick wide breaks and the competitive recent head-to-head pattern. Expect Sociedad to own more of the ball, with the decisive moments likely to come once Rayo’s defensive workload builds.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

This fixture has produced five draws in the last ten meetings, with Rayo taking points in four of the last five league clashes. Only one of those ten matches ended without a goal, underlining how often both teams have found a route through.

Injuries and absences

The reported Rayo list is potentially decisive: goalkeeper Augusto Batalla, right-back Andrei Rațiu, centre-back Luiz Felipe and forward Sergio Camello are all named as unavailable or doubtful. Sociedad’s listed issues are narrower, although Álvaro Odriozola’s reported absence would reduce an option at right-back.

Form (last 5)

Real SociedadLeague position #5 · 19 ptsW W W
Rayo VallecanoLeague position #16 · 9 ptsD D L

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano stats

Real SociedadRayo Vallecano
Played109
Goals scored1912
Goals conceded1820
Clean sheets10

Last meetings

  • 2026-04-26Rayo Vallecano 3-3 Real Sociedad
  • 2025-10-05Real Sociedad 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2025-03-16Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Real Sociedad
  • 2025-01-16Real Sociedad 3-1 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2024-08-18Real Sociedad 1-2 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2024-01-27Real Sociedad 0-0 Rayo Vallecano

Other La Liga matches