Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction

Valencia – Real Madrid, La Liga, Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 08:00 PM (GMT). Venue: Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia is #19 in the table (6 pts) and Real Madrid #3 (24 pts). 16 places separate the two teams in the table. Valencia has not won any of its last 5 matches. Real Madrid is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Real Madrid averages 2.5 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Valencia 1, draws 1, Real Madrid 4.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a major pressure fixture for Valencia, whose home form and scoring output have not matched the intensity usually generated by Mestalla. Real Madrid arrive in much stronger form and have recent success in this matchup, but their reported absences and European recovery create genuine lineup uncertainty. Valencia must make the game physical, protect the middle and give Guerra and Danjuma fast transition opportunities. If Madrid establish territorial control without conceding cheap turnovers, the visitors should dictate the pattern.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Real Madrid have taken the latest two meetings, including the latest league match at Mestalla. The broader recent history is less one-sided than that sequence suggests, with Valencia having produced both home resistance and notable wins in this rivalry.

Injuries and absences

The current availability listing would deprive Madrid of Vinícius Júnior’s direct left-sided threat and may affect their goalkeeper and defensive depth through the reported Courtois, Asencio and Mendy issues. Valencia’s listed concerns, particularly Diego López and Sergi Canós, would reduce attacking rotation and wide options if confirmed.

Form (last 5)

ValenciaLeague position #19 · 6 ptsD D L
Real MadridLeague position #3 · 24 ptsW W W

Valencia vs Real Madrid stats

ValenciaReal Madrid
Played1010
Goals scored725
Goals conceded1710
Clean sheets32

Last meetings

  • 2026-02-08Valencia 0-2 Real Madrid
  • 2025-11-01Real Madrid 4-0 Valencia
  • 2025-04-05Real Madrid 1-2 Valencia
  • 2025-01-03Valencia 1-2 Real Madrid
  • 2024-03-02Valencia 2-2 Real Madrid
  • 2023-11-11Real Madrid 5-1 Valencia

Other La Liga matches