Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes prediction

Paris Saint Germain – Estac Troyes, Ligue 1, Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 07:45 PM (GMT). Venue: Parc des Princes

Paris Saint Germain is #5 in the table (14 pts) and Estac Troyes #17 (5 pts). 12 places separate the two teams in the table. Paris Saint Germain is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Estac Troyes has not won any of its last 5 matches. Paris Saint Germain averages 2 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Paris Saint Germain 5, draws 1, Estac Troyes 0.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

PSG enter this match with form, home control and a strong historical edge over Troyes. Troyes need an exceptionally disciplined defensive display after a difficult run in which goals have been scarce and concessions frequent. The visitors’ best chance is to survive the early territorial pressure, make the match physical around second balls and exploit any PSG rotation or depleted defensive line. Clear, cold conditions should allow PSG to move the ball at their preferred tempo.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly PSG-favourable: Troyes have not won any of the supplied recent meetings. Recent fixtures in Paris have also produced open games, though this is a long-spanning sample with limited relevance to current squads.

Injuries and absences

The supplied feed reports no absences, but FotMob lists Dembélé, Kvaratskhelia, Marquinhos and Nuno Mendes as unavailable. If confirmed, PSG lose elite attacking isolation, left-flank balance and defensive leadership, making their lineup significantly less settled.

Form (last 5)

Paris Saint GermainLeague position #5 · 14 ptsW W W
Estac TroyesLeague position #17 · 5 ptsL L D

Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes stats

Paris Saint GermainEstac Troyes
Played78
Goals scored145
Goals conceded916
Clean sheets12

Last meetings

  • 2023-05-07Estac Troyes 1-3 Paris Saint Germain
  • 2022-10-29Paris Saint Germain 4-3 Estac Troyes
  • 2022-05-08Paris Saint Germain 2-2 Estac Troyes
  • 2021-08-07Estac Troyes 1-2 Paris Saint Germain
  • 2018-03-03Estac Troyes 0-2 Paris Saint Germain
  • 2017-11-29Paris Saint Germain 2-0 Estac Troyes

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