Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes prediction
Paris Saint Germain – Estac Troyes, Ligue 1, Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 07:45 PM (GMT). Venue: Parc des Princes
Paris Saint Germain is #5 in the table (14 pts) and Estac Troyes #17 (5 pts). 12 places separate the two teams in the table. Paris Saint Germain is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Estac Troyes has not won any of its last 5 matches. Paris Saint Germain averages 2 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Paris Saint Germain 5, draws 1, Estac Troyes 0.
AI confidence: Medium
AI match recap
PSG enter this match with form, home control and a strong historical edge over Troyes. Troyes need an exceptionally disciplined defensive display after a difficult run in which goals have been scarce and concessions frequent. The visitors’ best chance is to survive the early territorial pressure, make the match physical around second balls and exploit any PSG rotation or depleted defensive line. Clear, cold conditions should allow PSG to move the ball at their preferred tempo.
Predicted score and probabilities
The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.
See the full AI analysisHead-to-head analysis
The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly PSG-favourable: Troyes have not won any of the supplied recent meetings. Recent fixtures in Paris have also produced open games, though this is a long-spanning sample with limited relevance to current squads.
Injuries and absences
The supplied feed reports no absences, but FotMob lists Dembélé, Kvaratskhelia, Marquinhos and Nuno Mendes as unavailable. If confirmed, PSG lose elite attacking isolation, left-flank balance and defensive leadership, making their lineup significantly less settled.
Form (last 5)
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes stats
| Paris Saint Germain | Estac Troyes | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 7 | 8 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 5 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 16 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
Last meetings
- 2023-05-07Estac Troyes 1-3 Paris Saint Germain
- 2022-10-29Paris Saint Germain 4-3 Estac Troyes
- 2022-05-08Paris Saint Germain 2-2 Estac Troyes
- 2021-08-07Estac Troyes 1-2 Paris Saint Germain
- 2018-03-03Estac Troyes 0-2 Paris Saint Germain
- 2017-11-29Paris Saint Germain 2-0 Estac Troyes

Paris Saint Germain
Estac Troyes