Toulouse vs Strasbourg prediction

Toulouse – Strasbourg, Ligue 1, Friday, November 6, 2026 at 07:45 PM (GMT). Venue: Stadium de Toulouse

Toulouse is #11 in the table (10 pts) and Strasbourg #16 (7 pts). Toulouse is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Strasbourg has not won any of its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Toulouse 2, draws 1, Strasbourg 3. Their last meeting, on May 3, 2026, ended Strasbourg 1-2 Toulouse.

Toulouse

07:45 PM

Strasbourg

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Toulouse arrive in steadier league form and have recent winning memories of this fixture, while Strasbourg need to halt a damaging run. The Stadium Municipal hosts have a clear route through territorial control and repeat attacks against a Strasbourg defence that has struggled to close matches out. Strasbourg can still threaten in transition, particularly if Toulouse lose structure after committing bodies forward. Availability reports are inconsistent, making the final midfield and defensive selections important.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Toulouse won both meetings last season, including the latest encounter away from home. Across the longer sample the series is mixed, but the recent edge belongs to the hosts.

Injuries and absences

FotMob lists Pape Demba Diop suspended for Toulouse, removing a midfield option for screening transitions, while Strasbourg are reported to be without centre-back Aaron Anselmino. Those reports conflict with other availability listings, so confirmation at team-sheet release is essential.

Form (last 5)

ToulouseLeague position #11 · 10 ptsD W D

StrasbourgLeague position #16 · 7 ptsL L L

Toulouse vs Strasbourg stats

	Toulouse	Strasbourg
Played	8	8
Goals scored	12	12
Goals conceded	11	18
Clean sheets	2	0

Last meetings

2026-05-03Strasbourg 1-2 Toulouse
2025-12-06Toulouse 1-0 Strasbourg
2025-03-16Strasbourg 2-1 Toulouse
2025-01-12Toulouse 1-2 Strasbourg
2024-04-07Toulouse 0-0 Strasbourg
2023-08-27Strasbourg 2-0 Toulouse