Newcastle vs Everton prediction

Newcastle – Everton, Premier League, Monday, November 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (GMT). Venue: St. James' Park

Newcastle is #8 in the table (11 pts) and Everton #11 (10 pts). Everton has not won any of its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Newcastle 1, draws 1, Everton 4. Their last meeting, on October 29, 2026, ended Everton 3-1 Newcastle.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is an immediate rematch after Everton’s cup victory, giving Newcastle a clear home response to deliver at St. James’ Park. The league positions are close, and neither side has produced consistently convincing football, so control of the central midfield and the wide defensive match-ups matter more than reputation. Everton’s away league record remains a concern, but their recent success in this pairing makes them a live threat if Newcastle leave space in transition. Branthwaite’s availability and the after-effects of the compressed schedule are the late checks that can change the complexion.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Everton have won the last three meetings across league, cup and pre-season, including the immediate cup encounter. The broader recent series has still swung sharply between the clubs, so this is a rivalry defined more by match-state shifts than a stable stylistic edge.

Injuries and absences

Branthwaite’s confirmed cup absence is significant because Everton lose a leading aerial defender and organiser against Newcastle’s physical attacking phases. Newcastle’s recent doubts around Miley and Fernandez-Pardo mainly reduce midfield and attacking rotation rather than clearly forcing a structural change.

Form (last 5)

NewcastleLeague position #8 · 11 ptsL L W
EvertonLeague position #11 · 10 ptsD L L

Newcastle vs Everton stats

NewcastleEverton
Played88
Goals scored128
Goals conceded149
Clean sheets23

Last meetings

  • 2026-10-29Everton 3-1 Newcastle
  • 2026-08-12Newcastle 1-3 Everton
  • 2026-02-28Newcastle 2-3 Everton
  • 2025-11-29Everton 1-4 Newcastle
  • 2025-05-25Newcastle 0-1 Everton
  • 2024-10-05Everton 0-0 Newcastle

Other Premier League matches