Penarol vs Wanderers prediction

Penarol – Wanderers, Primera División, Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 07:30 PM (GMT). Venue: TBD

Penarol is #1 in the table (64 pts) and Wanderers #7 (50 pts). Penarol has not won any of its last 5 matches. Wanderers has not won any of its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Penarol 5, draws 0, Wanderers 1. Their last meeting, on August 5, 2026, ended Penarol 5-1 Wanderers.

Penarol

07:30 PM

Wanderers

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Peñarol need an immediate league response after a difficult recent sequence and a rotated cup exit, with the annual-table stakes now prominent. Aguirre has made clear that the cup selection was not the team he intends to use here, so the hosts should look sharper and more assertive from the start. Wanderers arrive in poor form but with their own survival pressure, making a low-risk defensive plan logical. The unusual closed-door, borrowed-venue context is the main reason this should not be treated as a standard Peñarol home match.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Peñarol hold the stronger recent head-to-head record, with several clean-sheet wins and a particularly emphatic meeting earlier this year. Wanderers did win the April league encounter, however, showing that a disciplined defensive game plan can disrupt Peñarol.

Form (last 5)

PenarolLeague position #1 · 64 ptsD L D

WanderersLeague position #7 · 50 ptsL L L

Penarol vs Wanderers stats

	Penarol	Wanderers
Played	35	35
Goals scored	56	42
Goals conceded	28	48
Clean sheets	12	12

Last meetings

2026-08-05Penarol 5-1 Wanderers
2026-04-26Wanderers 1-0 Penarol
2025-10-19Penarol 3-0 Wanderers
2025-06-22Penarol 2-0 Wanderers
2025-04-19Wanderers 1-2 Penarol
2024-11-14Wanderers 0-2 Penarol