Progreso vs Defensor Sporting prediction

Progreso – Defensor Sporting, Primera División, Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (GMT). Venue: Parque Abraham Paladino

Progreso is #15 in the table (35 pts) and Defensor Sporting #14 (36 pts). Progreso is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Defensor Sporting has not won any of its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Progreso 1, draws 2, Defensor Sporting 3. Their last meeting, on April 27, 2026, ended Defensor Sporting 1-0 Progreso.

Progreso

01:00 PM

Defensor Sporting

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a close lower-table meeting, but the teams approach it with sharply different momentum. Progreso have built confidence through recent results and have the home setting, while Defensor Sporting need a far cleaner defensive display after a difficult run. The visitors retain enough quality to punish a stretched home shape, particularly if Progreso commit numbers forward. Expect a physical match decided by midfield recoveries, wide deliveries and who handles the closing stages better.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Defensor Sporting have had the better of several recent meetings, including the latest league encounter, but this fixture has also produced draws and home reversals. The historical series supports a competitive match rather than a one-sided pattern.

Form (last 5)

ProgresoLeague position #15 · 35 ptsD W W

Defensor SportingLeague position #14 · 36 ptsL L D

Progreso vs Defensor Sporting stats

	Progreso	Defensor Sporting
Played	34	34
Goals scored	31	33
Goals conceded	47	43
Clean sheets	6	8

Last meetings

2026-04-27Defensor Sporting 1-0 Progreso
2026-01-12Defensor Sporting 0-0 Progreso
2025-10-19Progreso 2-3 Defensor Sporting
2025-04-20Defensor Sporting 1-2 Progreso
2024-11-14Defensor Sporting 3-0 Progreso
2024-06-15Defensor Sporting 1-1 Progreso