Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama prediction

Atletico Paranaense – Vasco DA Gama, Brasileirão, Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 10:30 PM (GMT). Venue: Arena da Baixada

Atletico Paranaense is #4 in the table (54 pts) and Vasco DA Gama #13 (38 pts). 9 places separate the two teams in the table. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Atletico Paranaense 2, draws 1, Vasco DA Gama 3. Their last meeting, on May 10, 2026, ended Vasco DA Gama 1-0 Atletico Paranaense.

Atletico Paranaense

10:30 PM

Vasco DA Gama

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Athletico bring the stronger league position, a reliable home defensive record and the benefit of playing in Curitiba. Vasco arrive in improved recent league form, but this visit falls directly between two major Copa do Brasil matches against Palmeiras. The home side’s ability to impose tempo on the artificial surface is the central match-up, while Vasco need disciplined defending and efficient transitions. Recent meetings suggest a close contest rather than an open-sided game.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

The last 10 meetings are closely balanced, with Athletico holding a narrow overall edge. Recent league games in Curitiba favour the home side, while Vasco won the reverse fixture earlier this season.

Form (last 5)

Atletico ParanaenseLeague position #4 · 54 ptsW L D

Vasco DA GamaLeague position #13 · 38 ptsD L W

Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama stats

	Atletico Paranaense	Vasco DA Gama
Played	32	31
Goals scored	50	39
Goals conceded	38	45
Clean sheets	8	4

Last meetings

2026-05-10Vasco DA Gama 1-0 Atletico Paranaense
2024-09-12Atletico Paranaense 2-1 Vasco DA Gama
2024-08-29Vasco DA Gama 2-1 Atletico Paranaense
2024-08-27Vasco DA Gama 2-1 Atletico Paranaense
2024-05-05Atletico Paranaense 1-0 Vasco DA Gama
2023-11-25Atletico Paranaense 0-0 Vasco DA Gama