Sao Paulo vs Corinthians prediction
Sao Paulo – Corinthians, Brasileirão, Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 12:30 AM (GMT). Venue: Estadio Do MorumBIS
Sao Paulo is #9 in the table (43 pts) and Corinthians #17 (33 pts). 8 places separate the two teams in the table. Sao Paulo is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Corinthians has not won any of its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Sao Paulo 3, draws 1, Corinthians 2. Their last meeting, on May 10, 2026, ended Corinthians 3-2 Sao Paulo.
AI confidence: Medium
AI match recap
This is a derby in which São Paulo's home strength meets a Corinthians side under mounting league pressure. The hosts have been far more reliable at MorumBIS, while Corinthians have brought a poor recent run into the match. Availability is the major late variable, with external squad reports conflicting and several prominent names listed as doubts or absentees. Expect São Paulo to have more of the ball and Corinthians to make the match physical, compact and transition-led.
Predicted score and probabilities
The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.
See the full AI analysisHead-to-head analysis
This rivalry has been closely balanced over the broader recent record, but its latest meetings have not followed one script. Corinthians won the reverse league match, while São Paulo have repeatedly found success when hosting at MorumBIS.
Injuries and absences
Availability reporting is contradictory, but the recurring names matter: Calleri's absence would reduce São Paulo's penalty-box reference point, while missing Depay or Yuri Alberto would strip Corinthians of much of their ball-carrying and finishing threat. Confirmed team sheets should be treated as decisive before kickoff.
Form (last 5)
Sao Paulo vs Corinthians stats
| Sao Paulo | Corinthians | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 32 | 32 |
| Goals scored | 37 | 34 |
| Goals conceded | 36 | 42 |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 10 |
Last meetings
- 2026-05-10Corinthians 3-2 Sao Paulo
- 2026-01-18Corinthians 1-1 Sao Paulo
- 2025-11-20Corinthians 3-1 Sao Paulo
- 2025-07-20Sao Paulo 2-0 Corinthians
- 2025-01-26Sao Paulo 3-1 Corinthians
- 2024-09-29Sao Paulo 3-1 Corinthians

Sao Paulo
Corinthians