Sao Paulo vs Corinthians prediction

Sao Paulo – Corinthians, Brasileirão, Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 12:30 AM (GMT). Venue: Estadio Do MorumBIS

Sao Paulo is #9 in the table (43 pts) and Corinthians #17 (33 pts). 8 places separate the two teams in the table. Sao Paulo is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Corinthians has not won any of its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Sao Paulo 3, draws 1, Corinthians 2. Their last meeting, on May 10, 2026, ended Corinthians 3-2 Sao Paulo.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a derby in which São Paulo's home strength meets a Corinthians side under mounting league pressure. The hosts have been far more reliable at MorumBIS, while Corinthians have brought a poor recent run into the match. Availability is the major late variable, with external squad reports conflicting and several prominent names listed as doubts or absentees. Expect São Paulo to have more of the ball and Corinthians to make the match physical, compact and transition-led.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

This rivalry has been closely balanced over the broader recent record, but its latest meetings have not followed one script. Corinthians won the reverse league match, while São Paulo have repeatedly found success when hosting at MorumBIS.

Injuries and absences

Availability reporting is contradictory, but the recurring names matter: Calleri's absence would reduce São Paulo's penalty-box reference point, while missing Depay or Yuri Alberto would strip Corinthians of much of their ball-carrying and finishing threat. Confirmed team sheets should be treated as decisive before kickoff.

Form (last 5)

Sao PauloLeague position #9 · 43 ptsW W D
CorinthiansLeague position #17 · 33 ptsL D L

Sao Paulo vs Corinthians stats

Sao PauloCorinthians
Played3232
Goals scored3734
Goals conceded3642
Clean sheets710

Last meetings

  • 2026-05-10Corinthians 3-2 Sao Paulo
  • 2026-01-18Corinthians 1-1 Sao Paulo
  • 2025-11-20Corinthians 3-1 Sao Paulo
  • 2025-07-20Sao Paulo 2-0 Corinthians
  • 2025-01-26Sao Paulo 3-1 Corinthians
  • 2024-09-29Sao Paulo 3-1 Corinthians

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