Cruzeiro vs Bahia prediction

Cruzeiro – Bahia, Brasileirão, Friday, November 6, 2026 at 12:30 AM (GMT). Venue: Estádio Mineirão

Cruzeiro is #3 in the table (54 pts) and Bahia #7 (50 pts). Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Cruzeiro 4, draws 1, Bahia 1. Their last meeting, on May 10, 2026, ended Bahia 1-2 Cruzeiro.

Cruzeiro

12:30 AM

Bahia

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Cruzeiro bring the stronger momentum and the home setting into a fixture with real importance in the fight for continental qualification. Bahia remain a capable opponent, but their recent results have lacked the consistency shown by the hosts. The key duel is Cruzeiro's fast attacking transitions against Bahia's ability to protect the space in front of and behind their midfield. Bahia can make this uncomfortable if they find early passes into Véliz and prevent Matheus Pereira from dictating the final third.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Cruzeiro have held a clear recent edge in this fixture, winning the last two league meetings and also producing a dominant recent Mineirão performance. Bahia have shown they can score in the matchup, but Cruzeiro's recent tactical answers have been more consistent.

Form (last 5)

CruzeiroLeague position #3 · 54 ptsL W W

BahiaLeague position #7 · 50 ptsW L D

Cruzeiro vs Bahia stats

	Cruzeiro	Bahia
Played	32	32
Goals scored	51	45
Goals conceded	46	40
Clean sheets	7	9

Last meetings

2026-05-10Bahia 1-2 Cruzeiro
2025-09-15Bahia 1-2 Cruzeiro
2025-04-18Cruzeiro 3-0 Bahia
2024-10-19Cruzeiro 1-1 Bahia
2024-06-23Bahia 4-1 Cruzeiro
2023-10-25Cruzeiro 3-0 Bahia