Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar prediction

Ajax – AZ Alkmaar, Eredivisie, Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 08:00 PM (GMT). Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax is #2 in the table (21 pts) and AZ Alkmaar #5 (20 pts). Ajax is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. AZ Alkmaar has not won any of its last 5 matches. Ajax averages 2.9 goals per match this season. AZ Alkmaar averages 2 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Ajax 0, draws 2, AZ Alkmaar 4.

Ajax

08:00 PM

AZ Alkmaar

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Ajax arrive with stronger immediate momentum and the advantage of a home crowd, but AZ have made this matchup deeply uncomfortable for them in recent seasons. The hosts should dictate possession, while AZ’s clearest route is to absorb pressure, win the second ball and break quickly into the channels. The current team-news picture is not fully reliable, so the final squads matter more than usual. This is a high-stakes meeting between sides near the leading group, with Ajax seeking to turn control into a more convincing home performance.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

AZ have dominated the latest head-to-head run, with Ajax unable to beat them across the listed sequence. AZ have also won their most recent league visits to the Johan Cruijff ArenA, though the latest league encounter finished level.

Form (last 5)

AjaxLeague position #2 · 21 ptsD W W

AZ AlkmaarLeague position #5 · 20 ptsL D L

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar stats

	Ajax	AZ Alkmaar
Played	10	10
Goals scored	29	20
Goals conceded	13	12
Clean sheets	2	3

Last meetings

2026-02-08AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Ajax
2026-01-14AZ Alkmaar 6-0 Ajax
2025-10-18Ajax 0-2 AZ Alkmaar
2025-03-16Ajax 2-2 AZ Alkmaar
2025-01-14AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Ajax
2024-12-08AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Ajax