Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction

Groningen – Sparta Rotterdam, Eredivisie, Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 03:45 PM (GMT). Venue: Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion

Groningen is #8 in the table (15 pts) and Sparta Rotterdam #14 (9 pts). Groningen averages 2.4 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Groningen 1, draws 0, Sparta Rotterdam 5. Their last meeting, on January 31, 2026, ended Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 Groningen.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Groningen enter with the stronger league position and a forward-thinking style that has kept their attack productive, but their openness has also made matches volatile. Sparta’s recent results have been uneven, yet their compact away-game approach is tailored to frustrate a side that commits bodies forward. The historical matchup strongly favours Sparta, making this a sharper test of Groningen’s defensive discipline than the table alone suggests. Groningen need Schreuders and Willumsson to find space before Sparta can settle into their low block; Sparta need clean first passes into transition runners.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Sparta have won eight of the last ten meetings, with Groningen winning only once and one draw. Sparta have also won the last three league clashes, a meaningful psychological and tactical counterweight to Groningen’s stronger current league position.

Injuries and absences

The baseline feed records no absences, but recent projected-lineup reporting lists several potential Groningen absentees, notably Malcolm Jeng and Tyrique Mercera, plus Sparta pair Max de Ligt and Shunsuke Mito. Until official squads are named, this is a material uncertainty rather than confirmed selection news.

Form (last 5)

GroningenLeague position #8 · 15 ptsW L D
Sparta RotterdamLeague position #14 · 9 ptsD W L

Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam stats

GroningenSparta Rotterdam
Played1010
Goals scored2417
Goals conceded2124
Clean sheets10

Last meetings

  • 2026-01-31Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 Groningen
  • 2025-10-30Sparta Rotterdam 5-2 Groningen
  • 2025-10-19Groningen 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam
  • 2025-02-02Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 Groningen
  • 2024-11-09Groningen 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam
  • 2023-05-28Groningen 0-5 Sparta Rotterdam

Other Eredivisie matches