PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II prediction

PSV Eindhoven – Willem II, Eredivisie, Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 05:45 PM (GMT). Venue: Philips Stadion

PSV Eindhoven is #3 in the table (20 pts) and Willem II #18 (2 pts). 15 places separate the two teams in the table. Willem II has not won any of its last 5 matches. PSV Eindhoven averages 2.8 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: PSV Eindhoven 4, draws 1, Willem II 1. Their last meeting, on February 8, 2025, ended PSV Eindhoven 1-1 Willem II.

AI confidence: High

AI match recap

PSV return to Philips Stadion with a clear chance to turn territorial dominance into a convincing league performance. Willem II are in a severe form slump and arrive amid a coaching change, with a fragile defensive unit still searching for stability. PSV’s attacking depth is reduced by absences, but Mijnans and Til provide enough movement around the box to make sustained home pressure the defining pattern. Willem II’s best route is to survive the opening spell, win second balls and make their transitions through Haen count.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

The recent head-to-head record broadly favours PSV, although Willem II took a draw at Philips Stadion in their latest visit. PSV have repeatedly found success in this fixture by sustaining pressure rather than relying on a single transition moment.

Injuries and absences

PSV’s absence list removes Schouten’s control in midfield and leaves Bosz short of recognised centre-forwards, with Pléa and Lammers unavailable and Pepi not yet confirmed. Willem II miss centre-back Justin Hoogma and left-sided defender Amine Lachkar, reducing options in a back line that already needs rapid improvement.

Form (last 5)

PSV EindhovenLeague position #3 · 20 ptsW L D
Willem IILeague position #18 · 2 ptsL L L

PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II stats

PSV EindhovenWillem II
Played1010
Goals scored2810
Goals conceded1332
Clean sheets10

Last meetings

  • 2025-02-08PSV Eindhoven 1-1 Willem II
  • 2024-09-28Willem II 0-2 PSV Eindhoven
  • 2022-05-01PSV Eindhoven 4-2 Willem II
  • 2021-09-25Willem II 2-1 PSV Eindhoven
  • 2021-05-09Willem II 0-2 PSV Eindhoven
  • 2020-11-08PSV Eindhoven 3-0 Willem II

Unavailable players

PSV Eindhoven

A. Nagalo, A. Plea, J. Schouten, P. Wanner, S. Lammers, R. Pepi

Willem II

J. Hoogma, A. Lachkar

Other Eredivisie matches