Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC prediction

Atlanta United FC – Toronto FC, MLS, Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 09:30 PM (GMT). Venue: Atlanta Stadium

Atlanta United FC is #14 in the table (30 pts) and Toronto FC #11 (39 pts). Atlanta United FC has not won any of its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Atlanta United FC 2, draws 3, Toronto FC 1. Their last meeting, on April 25, 2026, ended Toronto FC 1-2 Atlanta United FC.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Atlanta return home needing a response after a poor run at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while Toronto arrive with the more convincing recent results but their own defensive fragility. The market gives the hosts the slight edge, largely because their attacking creators can dictate spells on the artificial surface. Toronto’s route is direct and dangerous: get Mihailović on the ball early, stretch the pitch through Sallói, and give Sargent crosses and cut-backs to attack. The match is likely to turn on transition defending and on whether Toronto can cope without Zimmerman’s leadership at the back.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Atlanta are unbeaten in the last four meetings and won the earlier meeting this season in Toronto. The broader recent series has been tight, with draws a recurring feature and only small margins separating the sides.

Injuries and absences

FotMob lists Toronto without Walker Zimmerman and Nelson Palacio, weakening defensive leadership and midfield protection; Atlanta can test that spine through set-pieces and central combinations. Atlanta’s listed absences, Enea Mihaj and Will Reilly, reduce depth rather than clearly removing a projected attacking focal point.

Form (last 5)

Atlanta United FCLeague position #14 · 30 ptsL L L
Toronto FCLeague position #11 · 39 ptsW L W

Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC stats

Atlanta United FCToronto FC
Played3232
Goals scored4050
Goals conceded5660
Clean sheets44

Last meetings

  • 2026-04-25Toronto FC 1-2 Atlanta United FC
  • 2025-08-24Atlanta United FC 0-0 Toronto FC
  • 2025-07-12Toronto FC 1-1 Atlanta United FC
  • 2024-06-29Atlanta United FC 2-1 Toronto FC
  • 2024-03-23Toronto FC 2-0 Atlanta United FC
  • 2023-04-15Toronto FC 2-2 Atlanta United FC

Other MLS matches