Benfica vs Alverca prediction

Benfica – Alverca, Primeira Liga, Monday, November 2, 2026 at 08:15 PM (GMT). Venue: Estádio da Luz

Benfica is #2 in the table (22 pts) and Alverca #8 (11 pts). Benfica averages 2.9 goals per match this season. Last 2 head-to-head meetings: Benfica 2, draws 0, Alverca 0. Their last meeting, on February 8, 2026, ended Benfica 2-1 Alverca.

AI confidence: High

AI match recap

Benfica bring strong momentum, home control and a deeper attacking pool into a match against an Alverca side arriving after two scoreless defeats. The visitors’ suspensions are especially awkward because they affect a defence already short of established options. Alverca have enough transition threat to punish loose rest-defence, but they must first withstand Benfica’s early territorial pressure at da Luz. Pavlidis’ movement in the box and Prestianni’s ability to manufacture openings are the defining attacking tests.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Benfica won both league meetings with Alverca last season, including the match at da Luz. The broader recent history also points strongly toward the hosts, with Alverca’s last win over Benfica dating back many years.

Injuries and absences

Alverca’s confirmed suspensions for Baseya and Vidigal, alongside injuries to Meupiyou and Abdulai, remove defensive stability and reduce their capacity to change the game from the bench. Kessary’s return improves midfield options, but it does not fully solve the visitors’ shortage at the back.

Form (last 5)

BenficaLeague position #2 · 22 ptsL W W
AlvercaLeague position #8 · 11 ptsW W L

Benfica vs Alverca stats

BenficaAlverca
Played99
Goals scored2613
Goals conceded813
Clean sheets41

Last meetings

  • 2026-02-08Benfica 2-1 Alverca
  • 2025-08-31Alverca 1-2 Benfica

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