Casa Pia vs Sporting CP prediction

Casa Pia – Sporting CP, Primeira Liga, Friday, October 30, 2026 at 08:15 PM (GMT). Venue: Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior

Casa Pia is #16 in the table (7 pts) and Sporting CP #3 (18 pts). 13 places separate the two teams in the table. Sporting CP averages 2.3 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Casa Pia 0, draws 0, Sporting CP 6. Their last meeting, on January 16, 2026, ended Sporting CP 3-0 Casa Pia.

Casa Pia

08:15 PM

Sporting CP

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Sporting arrive with the stronger league position, a dominant recent head-to-head record and the need for an immediate response after their latest setback. Casa Pia have improved collectively and will try to turn Rio Maior into a low-space, high-duel contest, prolonging the match and feeding on any visiting frustration. The home side’s route is disciplined defending, clean set-piece work and fast transitions; Sporting’s is early territorial control and better execution from wide areas. Debast and Zalazar’s confirmed absences give Casa Pia a genuine opening if they can withstand the first wave.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Sporting have won all nine of the recorded recent meetings, including the latest league encounters home and away. Casa Pia have repeatedly found it difficult to contain Sporting’s attacking volume in this fixture.

Injuries and absences

Debast’s confirmed absence reduces Sporting’s centre-back cover and matters most when Casa Pia launch direct counters or attack set-pieces. Zalazar’s absence removes a midfield option during a demanding run, while Casa Pia have Sebastián Pérez available after he returned to normal training.

Form (last 5)

Casa PiaLeague position #16 · 7 ptsW L W

Sporting CPLeague position #3 · 18 ptsD W L

Casa Pia vs Sporting CP stats

	Casa Pia	Sporting CP
Played	9	9
Goals scored	5	21
Goals conceded	17	11
Clean sheets	2	2

Last meetings

2026-01-16Sporting CP 3-0 Casa Pia
2025-08-08Casa Pia 0-2 Sporting CP
2025-03-09Casa Pia 1-3 Sporting CP
2024-10-05Sporting CP 2-0 Casa Pia
2024-01-29Sporting CP 8-0 Casa Pia
2023-08-18Casa Pia 1-2 Sporting CP