FC Porto vs Estoril prediction

FC Porto – Estoril, Primeira Liga, Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 08:30 PM (GMT). Venue: Estádio do Dragão

FC Porto is #1 in the table (27 pts) and Estoril #18 (2 pts). 17 places separate the two teams in the table. FC Porto is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Estoril has not won any of its last 5 matches. FC Porto averages 2.3 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: FC Porto 5, draws 0, Estoril 1.

AI confidence: High

AI match recap

This is a sharp contrast in form and league position at the Dragão, where Porto return to a near-first-choice group after midweek rotation. Estoril arrive in a difficult run and with an interim coach trying to produce an immediate lift in belief and discipline. Porto's territorial control, pressure after turnovers and depth of available starters should dictate the match. Estoril need to survive the opening spell, defend the box cleanly and turn rare recoveries into fast, purposeful breaks.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Porto have won each of the last three league meetings with Estoril, including the most recent encounter in Estoril. At the Dragão, the recent league series has also featured both routine Porto victories and an Estoril upset, so history supports home control without making complacency safe.

Injuries and absences

Porto are without Smalling, William Gomes, Pietuszewski and Vasco Sousa, although the return of rested regulars preserves Farioli's defensive and midfield structure. Estoril's long-term absences and Begraoui's unresolved muscle issue are more acute because they reduce an attack already short of reliable penetration.

Form (last 5)

FC PortoLeague position #1 · 27 ptsW W W
EstorilLeague position #18 · 2 ptsL L L

FC Porto vs Estoril stats

FC PortoEstoril
Played99
Goals scored215
Goals conceded415
Clean sheets51

Last meetings

  • 2026-04-12Estoril 1-3 FC Porto
  • 2025-11-30FC Porto 1-0 Estoril
  • 2025-03-30Estoril 1-2 FC Porto
  • 2024-11-03FC Porto 4-0 Estoril
  • 2024-03-30Estoril 1-0 FC Porto
  • 2024-01-09Estoril 0-4 FC Porto

Other Primeira Liga matches