Moreirense vs Estrela prediction

Moreirense – Estrela, Primeira Liga, Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 03:30 PM (GMT). Venue: Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas

Moreirense is #10 in the table (11 pts) and Estrela #12 (10 pts). Estrela has not won any of its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Moreirense 2, draws 3, Estrela 1. Their last meeting, on May 2, 2026, ended Moreirense 3-2 Estrela.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a tight mid-table meeting between two inconsistent sides, with Estrela arriving under pressure after a poor league sequence and Moreirense trying to turn their latest win into momentum. The visitors carry the sharper counter-attacking identity, so Moreirense cannot overcommit their full-backs or midfield line. Maracás's return is a timely boost for the home defensive structure, while Estrela's Robinho situation remains worth monitoring. Expect a controlled opening, then a more open contest once either side is forced to chase it.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

The recent head-to-head record is closely balanced, with several draws and both teams recording wins. Meetings in Moreira de Cónegos have tended to contain goals more often than the corresponding fixture in Amadora.

Injuries and absences

Maracás's return gives Moreirense a meaningful boost in central-defensive experience and aerial authority, though João Veloso is still an unlikely participant. Estrela's potential lack of Robinho would remove a midfield option just as they need greater control and connection in attacking transitions.

Form (last 5)

MoreirenseLeague position #10 · 11 ptsD L W
EstrelaLeague position #12 · 10 ptsL L L

Moreirense vs Estrela stats

MoreirenseEstrela
Played99
Goals scored1114
Goals conceded1617
Clean sheets10

Last meetings

  • 2026-05-02Moreirense 3-2 Estrela
  • 2025-12-20Estrela 0-0 Moreirense
  • 2025-03-02Moreirense 1-1 Estrela
  • 2024-09-28Estrela 2-1 Moreirense
  • 2024-04-07Moreirense 2-2 Estrela
  • 2023-11-11Estrela 0-1 Moreirense

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